Posts Tagged ‘Sustainability’

Paradox of Thrift?

Posted by: Sam Folin

Wednesday, September 8th, 2010

Keynes described the problem of everyone trying to save more at the same time. Called the Paradox of Thrift, it suggests that a society trying to save more can slow economic growth so significantly that growth and income, and therefore savings, also fall off.

Is that what is happening now?

We warned in 2006 and 2007, maybe earlier, that the US needed to become a nation of savers. We also noted that the transition from borrow/spend/ to save/invest would be painful.

Alas, it seems to have come true. Do not shoot the messenger.

OSF

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WikiPositive Enters its ‘Soft Launch’ Phase!

Posted by: Rachael Stephens

Wednesday, July 21st, 2010

The website is now emerging from its second phase of development and beginning a “soft launch” period, during which it is signing up social entrepreneurs, organizations and companies who are making a net positive impact and want to post information on their initiatives or other positive initiatives they have found. WikiPositive is designed to be the first open-source, collaborative platform providing a simple starting point for research on companies with products or services that are good for the world. Ample space for critiques and questions will provide a healthy dialogue around key questions and issues in the sustainable and positive impact space. (more…)

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Regulation: Now More Than Ever

Posted by: Sam Folin

Wednesday, June 2nd, 2010

The BP failure in the Gulf of Mexico reminds us why regulating market based economies is crucial.

Last week Steven Pearlstein  penned an excellent article in  the Washington Post, and observed,

“The big flaw in the business critique of regulation is not so much that it overstates the costs, but that it understates its benefits — in particular, the benefits of avoiding low-probability events with disastrous consequences. Think of oil spills, mine explosions, financial meltdowns or even global warming. There is a natural tendency of human beings to underestimate the odds of such seemingly unlikely events — of forgetting that the 100-year flood is as likely to happen in Year 5 as it is in Year 95. And if there are insufficient data to calculate the probability of a very bad outcome, as is often the case, that doesn’t mean we should assume the probability is zero.”

Read his entire article here:  http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/05/25/AR2010052505154.html?sub=AR

Our history is filled with instances where business profit is privatized and business disasters are socialized. No doubt the BP spill will be yet another example.

OSF

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Market Review #2

Posted by: Sam Folin

Saturday, May 22nd, 2010

Valuation

In addition to these macro factors the valuation of the US stock market has quickly returned to high levels. Typically, returns over time from elevated valuation levels have been poor . Stock prices fell below their long-term mean valuation in March 2009 but have quickly returned to over-valuation.

In the past, bear markets have not ended until stocks have gotten cheap, sometimes ridiculously so. In 1982 stocks bottomed at a PE (price-earnings) ratio of about 10 using the Benjamin Graham method utilizing 10 year average earnings for E. Secular bear markets usually end with investors disgusted by stocks and with unusually low exposure to equities. That certainly was true in 1982. The opposite was true in early 2000. (more…)

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Wall Street Was Regulated For 50 Years

Posted by: Sam Folin

Wednesday, April 28th, 2010

This proposed tv ad says it all. http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/04/financial-reform-commercial/#more-55582

Regulation was successful for 50 odd years. A series of dereg moves by Congress and the SEC allowed the cowboys to go wild. The result has been devastation.

The next step is obvious but the banks are lobbying hard against the much needed rereg of Wall Street.

OSF

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